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Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Financial Calculators

A Word of Caution.

Many financial calculators are provided by those who have a vested interest in selling you some product. Frequently, financial calculators are provided by brokerage houses, mutual fund families and providers of other financial products. They all have an interest in people purchasing their products and therefore, such financial calculators should be used with an understanding of the builtin bias. 

I believe these financial calculators are independent, therefore, hopefully more realistic. Nevertheless, you will see major differences in the results. Do not base financial/retirement decisions on the results of these calculators alone. They may provide some indications of where you stand and what you may need to do, however, please consult your financial advisor before making financial decisions.

Given the turmoil in the nation's financial markets, caution may be the wise path to follow until this all gets sorted out and there is more clarity in what is happening.

Were these financial calculators helpful to you?

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Who is to Blame for the Financial Crisis?

What was the Cause?

When all of the noise and complexity is taken away, it becomes very clear that social planning by politicians and bureaucrats forced lending institutions to make loans to people who were not credit worthy and that created an unrealistic high demand in the housing lending market and led to an enormous number of bad loans. What began as an admirable goal, to assist lower income families become home owners, turned disasterous. 

Lending instutitutions were threatened and bullied by politicians and at the same time these same politicians were rewarded with enormous contributions for opposing any meaningful regulation until Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, these  government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) became the personal piggy bank of many members of Congress. For example, between 1989 and 2008, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae gave over $133,000 to Senator Christopher Dodd, over $111,000 to Senator John Kerry and over $105,000 to Barak Obama. For a more complete list, see Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Invest in Democrats. And what did Fannie and Freddie buy with all that money? They bought protection from regulation. Each time an effort was made to regulate them, these members of Congress could be counted on to protect Fannie and Freddie. Lest you think this is only a problem with Democrats, there are also Republicans with their hands in the till. Americans deserve better than this.

This unholy alliance between Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae on the one hand and members of Congress on the other created an artificial price bubble in real estate, which was securing these bad loans. When the bubble burst, we were left with this mess, a mess in which American taxpayers are being asked to foot the bill.

More can be found at Analysis: No shortage of blame in financial crisis. In this article it describes how "Washington, Wall Street, investors all at fault for current turmoil".

On September 15, Investor’s Business Daily pointed out, the cause of the financial markets being dysfunctional by stating that "Democrats during the Clinton years are a prime reason for it.” This publication continued saying that during those years, “Tough new regulations forced lenders into high-risk areas where they had no choice but to lower lending standards to make the loans that sound business practices had previously guarded against making.”

There were some feeble efforts made to correct these problems. As stated in the New York Times, "To his credit, Mr. Bush accurately foresaw the danger posed by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae and began calling as early as 2002 for greater regulation." How did Freddie and Fannie react to these proposals to regulate them? "They flooded Washington with lobbying dollars, doled out hundreds of thousands in political contributions" to certain members of Congress. However, with congressional resistance, the president soon abandoned this effort.

Here are two articles that explain the origin of the problem. On May 31, 1999  the LA Times ran an article in which it says, "In 1992, Congress mandated that Fannie and Freddie increase their purchases of mortgages for low-income and medium-income borrowers..... Most importantly, Fannie Mae has agreed to buy more loans with very low down payments–or with mortgage payments that represent an unusually high percentage of a buyer’s income." 

On September 30,1999 the New York Times  carried an article saying, "In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders.

The action....will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans." Even then there were warnings of what we see now. In the same article it said, "In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980's."

In the NYT article Peter Wallison a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute said,''From the perspective of many people, including me, this is another thrift industry growing up around us. If they fail, the government will have to step up and bail them out the way it stepped up and bailed out the thrift industry.''

The bottom line is that the very people (politicians in Washington) who are working to solve the problem are the same people who created the problem in the first place.

What Do We Do Now?

Now, we are told, the stability of our entire American financial system is at risk.  We are being asked to bail out these Wall Street "geniuses" and other fat cats or it could lead to worse problems. What a great choice we have now.

Should we bail them out? I am not yet sure that is wise. I am concerned that a bailout encourages bad and risky behavior causing people to think if they get in trouble the goverment will bail them out. I am concerned about the enormous debt placed on the backs of American taxpayers. I largely agree with the point made by Mark Sanford in the Washington Post. Further, I have little confidence in the government running these organizations. Look what a mess they made of the GSEs such as Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Look at Amtrak, where what was supposed to be a profit making government venture still requires infusions of tax money each year.

One thing I am convinced of is that there should be investigations, even criminal if necessary of those involved, including politicians. Let's ensure that those who caused this crisis are held accountable. 

What Did I Miss?

72 Hour Kit

What is a 72 Hour Kit?

This is a supply of things that you can quickly grab and leave if circumstances require it. What kind of circumstances? There are many types of disasters and emergencies and in many cases, a 72 hour kit could mean the difference between life and death. It is estimated that after a major disaster, it may take up to three days for relief workers to reach some areas.
  • Terror alert
  • Chemical spill
  • Natural disaster
  • Fire
  • Severe storm
  • Flood
  • Earthquakes
  • Hurricanes
  • Tornadoes
  • Loss of gas or power
 These are a few situations and there are many more in which a 72 hour kit could be a real life saver.

What Should be in a 72 Hour Kit?

A 72 hour kit should contain the basic things to assist you in living for at least a 72 hour period if you had no other source of supplies. It is essential for any emergency or disaster. It could mean the difference between life and death. A 72 hour kit can be built by a family, however, we generally recommend purchasing your 72 hour kit only through an established and reputable company.

Wisdom suggests that you consider a 72 hour kit that you could live on for several days. In such a case, If you live in a disaster prone area a 72-hour kit is the minimum you should have available. Plan 72 hour kits based upon the size of your family and the ages of family members.

In this article by the National Terror Alert, they discuss the components and make up of a 72 hour kit. This may seem a bit daunting, therefore, you may wish to purchase one rather than putting it together yourself.

The state of Colorado also has a helpful site on this matter. Check it out.

If you determine to make your own kit, How to Make a 72 Hour Kit is a good source of information.

Whether you put it together yourself or purchase it, remember to update and refresh your 72 Hour Kit every six months ensuring that: all food, water, and medication is fresh and has not expired; clothing fits; personal documents and credit cards are up to date; and batteries are fresh and charged. Of what value is a kit where the food in not edible, the medication has expired and the batteries do not have a charge?

In addition to all of this, have a family disaster plan that describes what to do in the case of a disaster that strikes when the family is not all at home. Where do you go? How do you get back together? More information will be provided on this in a later post.

What Did I Miss?

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Pay Day Loan Warning!

This is a Warning

These days, with many people finding themselves short of cash, some are making a gigantic mistake. Have you ever needed a few extra dollars to float or carry you over until your next paycheck. If you have, I sincerely hope that you have steered far away from payday loans.

Also known as paycheck advances or cash advances, these predatory loans should never ever be an option if you’re short on cash.

People take out payday loans to borrow against their future paychecks, but it’s unbelievably costly. If you need, for example, $500 to fix your car right away, you’d write a post-dated check to the cash advance office, but you’d also need to tack on $15 for every $100 you want to borrow. So right off the bat you’re writing a check for around $575. That works out to a triple-digit annual interest rate, sometimes as high as 300-400%.

Besides the obscenely high interest rates, payday loans are nauseating because they prey on the “unbanked,” that is, the Americans who don’t have bank accounts. For these people, the process becomes a vicious circle as the average borrower takes out 11 loans a year. At those rates, you can only imagine how easy it is to fall behind.

If you need cash quick, there are always better alternatives to payday loans. First, establish a bank account, manage it well and apply for a line of credit or overdraft protection. Consider banking with a credit union, which typically have great rates. And there’s always the option of asking for an advance from your employer. Even a cash advance on a credit card, as bad as that is, is preferable to a payday loan. 

Bottom line? No matter what, stay away from payday loans. Run, don't walk away, run as fast as you can.

I cannot put it any stronger than Dave Ramsey

Dave Ramsey is a talk show radio host who specializes in advising people on how to get out of debt. On his Web site he advises those who have payday loans to "sell everything in your house until you get those things paid…you have to do this very, very fast and get these bloodsucking parasite ticks out of your life."

Read Demystifying the Payday Load Industry. This should scare you enough to keep you away from these parasites.

What Did I Miss?

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Buy High and Sell Low

Buy high and sell low. This is the practice of many Americans. This is the scenario by which many people are guaranteed to loose money.

Buy High

What often happens to small investors is they hear on TV or read in the newspaper how wonderful the stock market is performing. They hear how the Dow is up 2,000 points in the last year and they decide to jump in only to find that the stock market is near its high point.

Sell Low

Then the as the market becomes a bear market, they read about how badly it is doing, and they read it over and over. Finally, as the market gets near the low point, they decide to sell before they suffer more losses. Given the stock market for the last 10 months, there are many considering selling their securities and they will be engaging in a "Buy High and Sell Low" strategy. Don't sell because the market is low. This is not a great time to be selling securities. So unless there are other issues, such as needing some cash, now is probably not a good time to sell.

What the popular press is saying about financial markets should not be the basis for buying and selling securities. Some of the most successful investors are contrarians. These investors buy stocks when others are anxious to sell and they sell when others are rushing to buy.

Success

Another successful strategy is to regularly purchase quality stocks, mutual funds or ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) and hold them for the long term. This means you should not to pay too much attention to either the euphoria of the mass media or pay too much attention to their doom and gloom either.

Never buy or sell investments based upon reports in the media or a tip from an acquaintence. Never use loaded funds. Invest in no-load or ETF funds.

What Have I Missed?

I am not a financial advisor and nothing contained herein should be used to make specific financial decisions. You should consult a financial advisor concerning your specific situation.

Monday, September 8, 2008

How Much Credit Card Debt Do You Have?

Credit Card Debt

In a poll of over 50,000 consumers, 61% indicated that they carry over debt from month to month on their credit cards and 13% said that they have over $25,000 in credit card debt.

In the last few years Americans have dramatically increased the use of credit cards. The average American household has credit card debt of nearly $10,000 versus $3,000 in 1990, and are paying an average interest rate of 19% and credit card delinquencies have increased to 4.51% in the 1st quarter.

With half of the banks engaging in the unethical practice of universal default the interest rates paid by consumers could dramatically increase. That could also increase the amount of credit card debt by Americans.

According to the Federal Reserve, 40% of American families spend more than they earn. That cannot continue. You can expect that credit card delinquencies will increase in the next few years as credit card holders find it more and more difficult to make their payments. The slowing economy will also contribute to such defaults.

What are the debt solution options? This article will provide information of the various debt resolution options.

Can to Top This?

While working in the debt relief field assisting clients become debt free, I have seen people who have over $416,000 in credit card debt. Can you beat that? Do you want to beat that?

How much credit card debt do you have? If you care to share your experience, please comment or leave your response in the poll on the right.

What Did I Miss?

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Required Reading 9/08


The Great Consumer Crash of 2009

In "The Great Consumer Crash of 2009" James Quinn begins by saying, "I hate to tell you, but the storm has reached your location and it is a Category 5 hurricane. The levees are leaking. Ignore it at your own peril. The 6,000 sq ft McMansion buying, BMW leasing, $5 Starbucks latte drinking, granite countertop upgrading, home equity borrowing days are coming to an end."

And just who is James Quinn? He is a senior director of strategic planning for a major university. Mr Quinn has held financial positions with a retailer, homebuilder and a university in his 22-year career. Those positions included treasurer, controller, and head of strategic planning. He earned a BS in accounting from Drexel University and an MBA from Villanova University. He is a certified public accountant and a certified cash manager.

The Millionaire Next Door
The Millionaire Next Door: The Surprising Secrets of America's Wealthy is a book which shows how many people who would be considered ordinary are indeed ordinary in most ways but are extraordinary in the way they manage their finances. They appear to be like the people next door but have accumulated significant wealth by the manner in which they live.

Retire on Less Than You Think
According to Fred Brock, you can Retire on Less Than You Think. Mr. Brock was a business editor at the New York Times for over 10 years. This book explains how people can if they are inclined to do so, retire on less than you think and still have a quality lifestyle.

These books and this article are a good read. Although I do not agree with each and every point , they have many excellent money ideas and financial strategies.

Enjoy.

Monday, September 1, 2008

Happy Labor Day

Have a Happy and Prosperous Labor Day

Labor Day was orginally established to celebrate the contributions of working men and women in the United States. Today, Labor Day is often regarded as a day of relaxation and parades, speeches or political demonstrations. Picnics, barbecues, sports and fireworks are often part of the celebration. Some take it as the last opportunity to travel before the end of summer.

In addition your Labor Day celebration, you might take a little time to consider how you can improve your financial health.

Here are some financial tools that can assist you in improving your financial situation.

Enjoy Labor Day
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